Statistical methods in cancer research. Biweekly change in confirmed COVID-19 cases, Biweekly change in confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Biweekly confirmed COVID-19 cases per million people, Biweekly confirmed COVID-19 deaths per million people, COVID-19 vaccine boosters administered per 100 people, COVID-19 vaccine doses administered by manufacturer, COVID-19 vaccine doses donated to COVAX, per capita, COVID-19 vaccine doses donated to COVAX, per dose administered, COVID-19 vaccine doses donated to COVAX, per million dollars of GDP, COVID-19: Daily tests vs. daily new confirmed cases, COVID-19: Daily tests vs. daily new confirmed cases per million, Cancellation of public events during COVID-19 pandemic, Chile: COVID-19 weekly death rate by vaccination status, Confirmed COVID-19 deaths per million vs GDP per capita, Cumulative confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths, Cumulative confirmed COVID-19 cases by world region, Cumulative confirmed COVID-19 cases per million vs. GDP per capita, Cumulative confirmed COVID-19 deaths by world region, Cumulative confirmed COVID-19 deaths vs. cases, Daily COVID-19 vaccine doses administered, Daily and total confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths, Daily confirmed COVID-19 cases by world region, Daily confirmed COVID-19 deaths by world region, Daily new confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths, Daily new estimated COVID-19 infections from the ICL model, Daily new estimated COVID-19 infections from the IHME model, Daily new estimated COVID-19 infections from the LSHTM model, Daily new estimated COVID-19 infections from the YYG model, Daily new estimated infections of COVID-19, Daily share of the population receiving a COVID-19 vaccine dose, Daily vs. total confirmed COVID-19 cases per million people, Debt or contract relief during the COVID-19 pandemic, Estimated cumulative excess deaths during COVID, Estimated cumulative excess deaths per 100,000 people during COVID, from The Economist, Estimated daily excess deaths during COVID, Estimated daily excess deaths per 100,000 people during COVID, from The Economist, Excess mortality: Cumulative deaths from all causes compared to projection based on previous years, Excess mortality: Cumulative number of deaths from all causes compared to projection based on previous years, Excess mortality: Cumulative number of deaths from all causes compared to projection based on previous years, per million people, Excess mortality: Deaths from all causes compared to average over previous years, Excess mortality: Deaths from all causes compared to average over previous years, by age, Excess mortality: Deaths from all causes compared to projection, Excess mortality: Deaths from all causes compared to projection based on previous years, by age, Excess mortality: Raw number of deaths from all causes compared to projection based on previous years, Face covering policies during the COVID-19 pandemic. For Rhode Island, the Times used total hospitalization data provided by the state instead of federal data because it was more complete. In those states, people who were not fully vaccinated were hospitalized with Covid-19 at least five times more often than fully vaccinated people, according to the analysis, and they died at least eight times more often. The preventable deaths will continue, experts predict, with unvaccinated pockets of the nation experiencing outbreaks in the fall and winter. U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, April 16. The VSD includes approximately 3% of the U.S. population, and is representative of the general population with regard to several demographic and socioeconomic characteristics (9). Infected vaccinated people with severe symptoms are more likely to seek medical attention, behospitalized or die. First, this was a cohort study with a large, sociodemographically diverse population, and it encompassed a study period of >7 months. She provided PolitiFact with the same data she shared with The Washington Post; it showed that in August, the last month of data available, 58% of deaths from COVID-19 were among vaccinated people (either with initial two-dose regimen, or a booster), compared with 42% for unvaccinated people. And among those who have received the bivalent shot, it is 0.07 per 100,000 people. Adverse events following mRNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccination among U.S. nursing home residents. All persons aged 12 years should receive a COVID-19 vaccine. Relative risks by age were adjusted for sex, race and ethnicity, and VSD site. We rate theclaim that the death rate from COVID-19 among fully vaccinated individuals is significantly higher than the unvaccinated FALSE, based on our research. provided as a service to MMWR readers and do not constitute or imply Among persons aged 1217 years, SMRs were similar among the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine recipients and unvaccinated comparison groups (p=0.68 after dose 1 and 0.89 after dose 2). Kerresa Morrissette reports research contracts from the National Institutes of Health, GlaxoSmithKline, and Merck Sharp & Dohme Corporation, outside the submitted work. Because the Janssen COVID-19 vaccine was authorized months after the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines and demographic characteristics of Janssen versus mRNA COVID-19 vaccine recipients might differ, a separate group of comparators was selected for Janssen vaccine recipients on the basis of calendar time and demographic characteristics of Janssen vaccine recipients. Because only a total number of breakthrough hospitalizations or deaths for the entire period was available, rates cover different periods for each state. Rates used to calculate comparisons were unrounded. The unvaccinated group might be more similar to the vaccinated group in risk factors than are vaccinated and unvaccinated adults. Some states said that they did not know the hospitalization status of all of their breakthrough infections or that they only received data from a subset of hospitals. Among Janssen vaccine recipients, the overall SMR was 0.84 per 100 person-years, lower than the rate of 1.47 per 100 person-years among the unvaccinated comparison group (p <0.001). The states define breakthrough cases in different ways and provided data for different periods, so exercise caution when making comparisons. This finding reinforces the safety profile of currently approved COVID-19 vaccines in the United States. References to non-CDC sites on the Internet are USA TODAY has reached out to Smith for comment. Simonsen L, Taylor RJ, Viboud C, Miller MA, Jackson LA. Va. (AP Photo/Steve Helber). Two years into the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, there are far more people vaccinated against the virus than unvaccinated, so its not unexpected that vaccinated people now make up the majority of hospitalizations or deaths. One reason for the trend is that there are far more vaccinated people than unvaccinated. Lancet Infect Dis 2007;7:65866. Week by week change in confirmed COVID-19 cases, Week by week change of confirmed COVID-19 deaths, Weekly confirmed COVID-19 cases per million people, Weekly confirmed COVID-19 deaths per million people, Weekly new ICU admissions for COVID-19 per million, Weekly new hospital admissions for COVID-19, Weekly new hospital admissions for COVID-19 per million. But that number isn't, said Lisa Miller, an epidemiologist and clinical professor at the Colorado School of Public Health. This may seem counterintuitive, so its important to understand why. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. A cohort study of 19,625 nursing home residents found that those who received an mRNA vaccine (Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna) had lower all-cause mortality than did unvaccinated residents (5), but no studies comparing mortality rates within the general population of vaccinated and unvaccinated persons have been conducted. The latest figure for vaccinated people is down slightly from previous months the data showed vaccinated people comprised 62% of the deaths in May and June. But that number is really hard to figure out.. The article delves into the reasons why vaccinated people now make up a greater share of COVID-19 deaths. A recent Washington Post headline about vaccinated Americans comprising the majority of COVID-19 deaths has been shared . Licenses: All visualizations, data, and articles produced by Our World in Data are open access under the Creative Commons BY license. "Vaccinated and boosted people, on average, are older and more likely to have underlying health conditions that put them at risk for severe COVID outcomes," Cox said. Note: The mortality rate for the 'All ages' group is age-standardized to account for the different vaccination rates of . Abbreviations: aRR = adjusted relative risk; CI = confidence interval; Janssen = Johnson & Johnson; NA=not applicable; VSD = Vaccine Safety Datalink. Abbreviations: Janssen = Johnson & Johnson; NA=not applicable. More than 40% of the entire US population are vaccinated against the coronavirus. Among 3.5 million Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine recipients, 9.2% were aged 1217 years, 69.4% were aged 1864 years, 54.0% were female, 42.7% were White persons, 21.4% were Hispanic persons, 16.6% were Asian persons, and 5.1% were Black persons (Table 1). Although deaths after COVID-19 vaccination have been reported to the Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System, few studies have been conducted to evaluate mortality not associated with COVID-19 among vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. "Vaccinated people now make up a majority of covid deaths," read the headline of the Nov. 23 article. All information these cookies collect is aggregated and therefore anonymous. Food and Drug Administration. Rate calculations are based on the entire fully vaccinated and not fully vaccinated population, not any measure of who has been exposed to Covid-19. Most of the breakthrough cases will not be diagnosed because they tend to be mild or more like a cold, said Dr. Chighaf Bakour, an assistant professor of epidemiology at the University of South Florida, explaining that the cases that are diagnosed would be more likely to be moderate to severe because those people would seek out testing or treatment. The latest vaccine data from the CDC shows that 68.8% of all Americans have completed a primary series of vaccines. 1800 I Street NW Use of trade names and commercial sources is for identification only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Department of ** Deaths were identified through VSD, which captures hospital deaths and deaths reported to health plans. Ali Mokdad, a professor of health metrics sciences at the University of Washington in Seattle, said modeling suggests the nation will hit 1,000 deaths per day again next year. These cookies may also be used for advertising purposes by these third parties. Illinois. Imagine a state where just two people are hospitalized but both are vaccinated breakthroughs would account for 100 percent of the hospitalizations in that state, even though these cases were very rare. New data this week has found fully vaccinated adults 65 or older are 94% less likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 thantheir same-aged peers and 64% less likely if they have only receivedone dose of mRNA vaccine. But public health experts say calculatinga death rate from those numbersand comparing it to the general population is misleading. All analyses were conducted using SAS statistical software (version 9.4; SAS Institute). This work was reviewed by CDC and VSD sites and was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy.. 552a; 44 U.S.C. Its still a lot of deaths, and theyre preventable deaths.. The data is our access; we have to collect the data, said Debra Furr-Holden, a Michigan State epidemiologist and associate dean for public health integration. St. Petersburg, FL Thats only part of the story. Due to varying protocols and challenges in the attribution of the cause of death, the number of confirmed deaths may not accurately represent the true number of deaths caused by COVID-19. While vaccine remains scarce in much of the world, the U.S. supply is so abundant and demand has slumped so dramatically that shots sit unused. Persons who were vaccinated during December 14, 2020May 31, 2021 were included in the vaccinated group. 0.6%. Since April 2022, people vaccinated against COVID-19 have comprised the majority of COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. compared with unvaccinated people. * Number of deaths as of July 31, 2021; deaths that occurred 30 days after an incident COVID-19 diagnosis or receipt of a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result were excluded. ; COVE Study Group. Many of the states provided data through June or July, which may not account for the recent surge in Delta variant infections. A MailOnline headline on 13 June read: "Study shows 29% of the 42 people who have died after catching the new strain had BOTH vaccinations."In Public Health England's technical briefing on . As his health deteriorated, a neighbor finally persuaded him to go to the hospital. All authors have completed and submitted the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors form for disclosure of potential conflicts of interest. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. The death rate is also higher for the unvaccinated. Nearly all COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. now are in people who weren't vaccinated, a staggering demonstration of how effective the shots have been and an indication that deaths per day now down to under 300 could be practically zero if everyone eligible got the vaccine. Our fact check work is supported in part by a grant from Facebook. Polack FP, Thomas SJ, Kitchin N, et al. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. 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